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Business & Money / Retrospective report

Flood maps missed risks

Risk and purchase rules differ.

Event / announcement date
2026-10-01
Dikes surround houses in a flooded Grand Forks neighborhood.
File: Grand Forks flooding in 1997; exact capture date unknown. · “Red River of the North flooding in 1997” — State Water Commission / USGS, public domain. · Unchanged provider file. · Image source ↗ · public-domain ↗

GAO’s October 2026 report estimated that 86% of properties modeled by First Street at about 1% annual flood risk or higher lacked National Flood Insurance Program coverage on April 30. It adjusted for unmatched policy records and excluded private coverage. [1]

GAO’s 2023 review explains the pricing distinction: Risk Rating 2.0 assessed individual properties, while statutory discounts limited premiums. Affordability and insurance solvency could pull in different directions. [2]

The 2026 report found about 13 million high-risk properties outside FEMA’s special flood hazard areas. Those mapped areas trigger the federal mortgage-linked purchase requirement; they generally omit heavy-rainfall risk. A map boundary is not a complete risk assessment. [1]

The source

  1. GAO: Flood insurance ↗
    Source date 2026-10-01 · reviewed October 30, 2026
  2. GAO: Historical flood premium reform ↗
    Source date 2023-07-31 · reviewed October 30, 2026
Sources reviewed October 30, 2026. External pages may change.

About this item: Retrospective report. No first-hand reporting or independent testing is claimed. Corrections policy.

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